The State of Illinois held their 2012 primary elections on Tuesday, March 20, 2012 and believe it or not, Mitt Romney won the lion’s share of the vote for Republican delegates, with 46.7% (430,535 votes) vs. 35% (322,831 votes) for Rick Santorum, allowing Mitt to add to his delegate lead. Ron Paul received 85,872 votes, which equates to 9.3% of the vote and Newt Gingrich garnered 73,362 or roughly 8% of the vote.
This now gives Romney 552 delegates and Rick Santorum now has 249 delegates. A lead of slightly over 300 with only 1279 delegates left to be awarded. That would seem to indicate that Mitt Romney is now the odds on favorite to win the Republican nomination to represent the party in the November 2012 Presidential Election. The battle is even more of an uphill one for both Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul.
The last chance this month to gain ground for Santorum, Gingrich and Paul is on the 24th and the place is Louisiana. Right now, some polls are showing Santorum with a big lead in the state, but we’ve seen leads like this evaporate almost overnight already campaign season. With 46 delegates in play and needing to make up over 300 delegates, Rick can not afford to rest on these poll results and must keep pushing and pushing for each and every vote.
Mitt, on the other hand, only needs enough votes to maintain his lead up to the convention. If he continues winning delegates at the same rate he has so far (552 of 1,007 awarded), he’ll have the nomination sewn up heading into the convention in August. There are 1,279 delegates left to allocate and to this point, Mitt has been awarded roughly 54% of those already awarded. Assuming he continues to win at the same rate, Romney should have 1242 delegates…roughly 80 more than enough to win the nomination.
There are still several states to hold primaries and caucuses so we’ll just have to wait and see what happens. With two huge states (Texas and California) accounting for 327 of the available delegates, nothing is set in stone. Let us know what you think will happen in the race to become America’s Next President by leaving a comment below.
Thanks for reading and we’ll see you again very soon,